Tuesday, September 25, 2007

So this is the New Year, and I don't feel any different




  • The small greater than signs at the bottom of the green area are the daily weight measures

  • The blue trend line is the "official number" of weight loss — a moving average (20ish-30ish days I think)

  • The black line is a "best fit" line that can be drawn through all the points



March




February




January




December



November



October



September



August



July



June



May



April




Friday, May 26, 2006

Alay, Alay Alay Alay!

Welcome to the most Amazin' team of all












Wednesday, March 29, 2006

LeVar Burton fan club

I know you've been dying to know. And I've never really tried collecting my thoughts all in one place on this topic: Whom do I root for? And why?

I won't pretend any of this is a well-reasoned evaluation of the complex dynamics of the whatever of the leagues in question and/or Mel Kiper's hair. Irrational? Illogical? Shallow? Arbitrary? Non-sensical? It's all here! Without ado:

MLB

Top 5
1. New York Mets -- no explanation needed, I hope. David Wright = God
2. Houston Astros -- Class of '62, hard-luck case that deserves better than they've gotten (one of the most successful teams of the expansion era, especially given their recent deluge of postseason appearances). Plus, uh, it's sort of Texas homerism, I guess. Additionally, the principle of supporting your friends (Sam) by rooting for their teams.
3. Oakland Athletics -- I am a Moneyballer in spirit and in fact. If Joe Morgan is 6, then Billy Beane is 7! then Beane is 7! then Beane is 7! 'Nuff said.
4. Boston Red Sox -- Gotta root for the team most likely to stick it to the Yankees (and OMG Theo Epstein heartthrob). Plus, Thom lives there. (Not technically, though.)
5. Anaheim Angels -- sort of a conflict between this and #3 (as with #2 and #1). But I was a rally-monkeyer for most of 2002 when the Twinky bandwagon was full, and it paid off.

Bottom 6
25. Cincinnati Reds -- Mostly to piss Burge off. The Rangers of the NL, though, and that's nigh unforgiveable.
26. St. Louis Cardinals -- Old-time Met rivals. These two teams battled for supremacy of the NL East in the late 80s. Plus, they're really good now ... which makes them easy to hate.
27. Florida Marlins -- Since 1993, the Marlins have 2 winning seasons, 2 playoff appearances, and 2 WS championships. Ugh. And we beat up on them pretty regularly, too.
28. Texas Rangers -- The epitome of mediocrity & suckitude. Without Orel there anymore, I have no reason to even consider liking them. I do love their stable of young hitters, but no, mass media, Kevin Mench will never be a "50-HR guy". Jeebus. I can't quite imagine what drives people to become Rangers fans when they have a far finer franchise just down I-45. Do something useful for your team, and have lots and lots of kids and encourage them to grow up to be starting pitchers. So many bad excuses, bad deals. So many annoying homers 'round these parts. Ugh. I can't stand this franchise.
29. Atlanta Braves -- Laaaaaaaaaaaaaary.
30. New York Yankees.

I don't really have strong feelings about any other teams. But here's a snapshot of who I support, by division:

AL East: Bosox, Bosox, Bosox. Jays are cool too. Orioles get dropped a spot for, in order of importance, a) Earl Weaver; b) Benson/Julio trade; c) Rafael Palmeiro; d) Mike Mussina.
1-5: Bosox, Jays, D-Rays, O-rings, Skanks.

AL Central: Minnesota Twins. In addition to the feel-gooderies of Jack Morris, Kent Hrbek and Kirby, I'll always owe some allegiance to the immortal Aaron Gleeman. I do love the young Indians team as well (and what schlock-movie fan doesn't subconsciously root for Charlie Sheen, Wesley Snipes & the boys?). I used to root for the Pale Hose out of pity, but they're now well-bandwagoned. EARTH TO ESPN: THEY WEREN'T THAT GOOD LAST YEAR. OZZIE GUILLEN'S PERSONALITY WILL NOT WIN THE WORLD SERIES IN 2006-2050.
1-5: Twins, Indians, Royals (Rob Neyer), Chisox, Tigers

AL West: I have a soft spot for Seattle given the unfortunate timing of their success in the late 1990s. 116 freakin' wins.
1-4: A's, Angels, Mariners, Rangers

NL East: Pity (1 championship in 130+ years), not to mention (at right) Mike Schmidt (we Mets fans know all about Hall-of-Fame third basemen, am I rite?), gets the Phils the #2 nod, even over the plucky 'Spos. And if things keep going the way they are, the Marlins may sink below the Braves soon (though the Metskies have always done fine personally against the Fish).
1-5: Mets, Phillies, Expos, Marlins, Braves

NL Central: No, they're not "the best fans in baseball"; St. Louis is just lame, that's all.
1-6: Astros, Cubs, Pirates, Brewers, Reds, Cardinals

NL West: I feel bad for my dad for feeling obligated to the Giants from their days in NY. Cuz I can't stand that fucking franchise now. I'll always love the Trolley-Ds for 1988. And the D'Backs get props for one of the greatest baseball moments of my lifetime. God bless you, Luis Gonzalez. 1-5: Dodgers, Diamondbacks, Padres, Rox, Giants


NFL

Roots:
1. N.Y. Giants -- Phil Simms, 1986:



2. Philly Eagles -- Randall Cunningham, McNabb, Andy Reid. Am I the only white man who actually LIKED Fred-X and T.O.?
3. Seattle Seahawks -- "We want the ball, and we're gonna score!" Hehe. I don't know why I'm attracted to this team from the northwest, but I am. Probably because of their smoove offense.
4. Cincinnati Bengals -- It's hard to root for Carson Palmer, but the icky USC-ness is mostly negated by Who-dey and the LOL of Chad Johnson. I like Marvin Lewis, though, and I'd love to see Boomer's team finally accomplish something.
5. Indianapolis Colts -- Just to prove the Peyton Manning naysayers wrong.
6. Chicago Bears -- My dad's team; the '85 squad is arguably the best in history. A team with a phenomenal D.
7. New York Jets -- Apparently Mets fans love the Jets.
8. Arizona Cardinals -- Good thing going with Bolden and McCown/Warner. A totally pathetic franchise; I'd love to see them do, you know, something.
9. Buffalo Bills -- I still owe lots of people money from betting on these guys in the Super Bowl in middle school. These guys never got any respect -- elect Thurman Thomas to the HOF. Now.
10. 49ers -- Joe Montana. Plus, the nemesis of the Cowboys.

Hates:
29. Oakland Raiders -- Get over yourselves. Your only claim to fame is the tough-actin' Ace Hardware guy. (FOOTBALL!!!!!!!!)
30. Carolina Panthers -- Arguably the most overrated team of recent memory. I can't even attribute 2005 to the SI jinx -- Jake Delhomme is mediocre, and so is your secondary. This franchise is the go-to obligatory "dark-horse" for the Salisbury contingent. Fuck 'em.
31. New England Patriots -- You won 2 Super Bowls on last-second field goals (and, y'know, the Tuck Rule, you assholes). I think BB's a helluva coach. But if Jake Delhomme is the Sammy Hagar of overrated, Tom Brady's the DLR.
32. Dallas Cowboys -- Hurrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.


NBA

1. Dallas Mavericks -- Oh Mark Cuban (left), I've totally turned a corner on your now-lovable antics. (The Frankenstein haircut helps a lot.) Dirk Nowitzki is probably the most underrated superstar ever in the history of ever. I want a championship before he retires. (But making it the Big 1 doesn't help your case here...)
2. New Jersey Nets -- Sure, it's the Eastern Conf, but these guys made consecutive Finals apps a few years ago. J-Kidd is awesome, and the supporting cast is hugely entertaining. They have a guy named Kerry Kittles, for Chrissakes! (Oh, and homer homer homer bbbyyy.)

I don't really care about the NBA, so we'll just note that I hate the Lakers and love Allen Iverson and leave it at that.


NHL

1. New Jersey Devils -- Umm, Marty Brodeur, the greatest goalie ever? Naw, I really like these guys for actual non-Garden State (the state, not the movie) reasons. Patrik Elias, Langenbrunner, Brian "The Stud" Gionta -- and Scott Stevens for the hall of fame, eh?
2. Everybody else.

Last. Detroit Red Wings.

EPL

Roots:
1. Manchester City -- Okay, I don't really "know" anything about "football," but this seems like the Mets-y team (and they wear blue & stuff). They're also the only European winners to ever get relegated down (and recently!) to the 3rd tier. And that's a good parallel to the Mets' recent history.
2. Arsenal -- Nick Hornby? Judging by the recent SAS smacktalk, they're apparently Man U's nemesis as well.
3. Tottenham Hotspur -- That's a cool-sounding name. The English team that originally bit on Bobby Convey, too.
4. Newcastle -- ....Ale.
5. West Bromwich Albion -- Stayed up last year by some weird clusterfuck of rules that involved Crystal Palace sucking (and they certainly do suck). What's not to like here?

Hates:
Manchester United
-- Fuckheads.
Crystal Palace -- Despite a possible FF2 link, I really don't get the appeal.


The Football League

1. Reading -- Got royally (get it?) screwed when the PL contracted a few years back. They're gonna be promoted for the first time in history next year. Get on the bandwagon now! Also: Two of their main guys (Convey, below right, & Hahnemann, below left -- see WaPo article here) are on the US men's team. Plus, uh, I used to live in Reading-ton.


Hates:
Sheffield United -- Denizens of the 2nd tier; I get the feeling they're wankers. Plus, Shef Wed seem like a plucky sort.


International cricket

Roots:
1. England -- Well, I speak English, so it was a natural fit. I might've searched out a new team if they'd faltered (again) in the '05 Ashes, but hot damn, hot damn. This is a team on the rise with lots of talent. Guys like fatty Matthew Hoggard and the tenacious Tresco make supporting them easy.
2. New Zealand -- OMG Shane Bond ::jizz::
3. Windies -- Oh, Brian Lara, too soon; still a stand-up team.

Hates:
Australia
-- How can a whole country of people consider Gillespie a world-class player? This team's been carried far too long by like 5 guys. And Ricky Ponting is a total douche.

Sunday, February 19, 2006

Off topic

Okay, I told myself I wouldn't talk about any non-poker things on here, but this tool was just a little too cool to not utilize:

http://www.hotfreelayouts.com/movies.php

These are in no particular order. I was a little surprised I have so many DVDs. (And I definitely identified a few I need to sell.) But hey, be glad I didn't do my VHSes as well. Not only because I would be forced to include Wing Commander, Transformers: The Movie, WarGames, On Deadly Ground, Empire Records and Cool Runnings, but mainly because this would be like 5 times as long. Long live Uve Hache Ese.

Sunday, January 22, 2006

Suckitude

You finished in 2nd place (eliminated at hand #3703840512).
151 hands played and saw flop:
- 8 times out of 33 while in small blind (24%)
- 17 times out of 31 while in big blind (54%)
- 1 times out of 87 in other positions (1%)
- a total of 26 times out of 151 (17%)

Pots won at showdown - 9 out of 14 (64%)
Pots won without showdown - 15

1 time out of 87 in other positions? Wow. That's interesting. I knew I was playing tight, but ... wow. FWIW, that one hand is the only hand I played in main part of the tourney:

Third to act, I raised all-in (1170 in chips) at hand #26 (seemed like it was later than that, to me) with TsTd. XXPantherXX (6720 stack) calls, and ross_man9383 (10,029 stack & the chipleader) calls. Flop is 4c3h7c, ross_man raises all-in, and XXPanther folds. I'm sweating the club flush draw, of course, but ross_man had 9h9d and figured his overpair was good. I'm pretty sure he had me figured for some sort of Broadway (or a pocket pair) with the PF all-in from early position -- he may have had my range at AQ+ and JJ+. Turn 7d, river Ad. I had forgotten the river was an Ace; that would've really been terrible to get sucked out with a monster chipstack playing "LOL any ace." I won 3,610 in that pot.

Teh suckitude

I'll try to elaborate below, but here are the main reasons I think I did well in the tourney:

1. I played tight.
2. Other players were eliminated quickly.
3. I got good cards in decisive positions and at critical times.
4. Weak play by my opponents (relates to #3).

(1) I played tight.

In addition to that amazing stat from above, I counted this: 5 hands played in 70 hands pre-final table. (Not counting checks in the BB/fold on the flop or call/folds out of the SB.) One is the major double-up hand.

I mentioned that we played with 10 still in (2 tables of 5) for "forever", it seemed — it was, in fact, 28 hands, which is 5 orbits. Weird. During this time, I raised all-in from the blinds in these situations:
— I checkraise all-in after it was folded to me in the SB, with Qh4c on a 8-A-K board (2 diamonds). He minbets the flop, and I guess I must've thought he was weak or something. (I can't imagine my motivation for this move now -- possibly a dreaded "read"?) My stack was a large fraction of his — about 2/3, and he folded.
— preflop all-in 1st to act with pocket Queens. I know some would say that I should've limped/raised a small amount to build a pot, but the worst possible thing to happen would be an A-K-x flop, y'know? (And that seems to happen a lot to me lately.)
— preflop all-in from the BB with 8d8c after the SB completed. Folds.
— all-in preflop, UTG with AhQs. This was after it went up to 200/400, so that's some serious blindage. But folded.

That's all my action before the final table.

(2) Other players eliminated quickly.

I'm really not 100% sure about this, but it seemed that way. We had been playing 10-handed for awhile when the first break came (after an hour), and continued that way for awhile. Maybe 1 hour isn't an uncommon time to get down to final-table numbers; I wouldn't know, as I rarely make it an hour into a tourney.

Anyway, the advantage (for me) is obvious: the blinds go up every X minutes, so I was still able to foldbot a lot without them eating me alive. IMHO, you pretty much need to have some semblance of a stack by that point in the tourney, or else you're sunk. But I didn't really get many chips until about halfway through the final table...

(3) I got good cards in decisive position and at critical times.

This is the real meat of my "success." Here's where my strategy gets dicey/I luck out some.

Instead of open pushing for chips, I was determined to fold, fold, fold. I wanted the other players to respect my all-ins for something, by getting a tight image. The problem with this, of course, is that to a 30k stack, the guy with 2000 chips is going to get called with basically any 2 cards.

I had $2910 coming into the final table. Blinds 200/400, ante 25. After about 12 hands (and 1 person eliminated -- not in the money yet), I'm down to 1760 in chips. I check out of the BB with T3, flop T-5-5 (2 clubs), I go all-in for the rest of my chips and finish up at 5420.

I check out of the big blind (1200) 15 hands later at 2770 in chips with K3, flop is 6-3-6, I go all-in, folds all around, I win a 4,125 pot. Stack up to 5620.

Those are two lucky hands.

An unconscious part of my strategy (I say unconscious since I only realized it after reading through the hand history) had been to basically never call a raise. Even at this point in the tourney, I hadn't yet called any raise. I was either the one doing the raising (all-in), or folding. (Occasionally calling or checking.) This is related to the gap concept, I guess, but I wasn't going to a) let myself get slowplayed by a minraise or anything like that; b) call off any part of my stack, with a marginal holding, to someone who is saying by his action, "I have something". I wanted to put the maximum pressure on everyone else to call me, if they thought I was risking my tournament on rags. Now is also a good time to mention: I never, ever got raised after a limp from any position, including the SB. (I did fold the BB several times, of course.)

That's luck in and of itself, because getting raised/reraised after committing a large bet with a blind call would've pretty much forced me to go all-in with a hand that I didn't feel was worthy of an open-push.

And that's the reason I say I was lucky. Those are two hands I probably wouldn't have played had I been raised; maybe the K3, but definitely not the T3. It would have been far too easy for me to simply blind away; instead, I was allowed to see flops at the right times and hit hands. And if you think that K3 hand was lucky ...

I'm in trouble b/c I have ~4,700 in chips (we're down to 5 players by now, and I'm in the money) and the level has just been raised to 1k/2k blinds and $100 ante (M= 1.3) with me in the BB. Miracle of miracles, I check 82 and see a beautiful 9-2-8 flop. I wind up winning 10k in the hand.

I wouldn't say I had a real stack until this point, but suddenly I'm 2nd in chips and determined to bully the short stacks. And on my next hand, feeling saucy or something, I semi-bluff the BB after it's been folded to me with J9. Fold, I pick up a bunch in blinds/antes. I have 13k, which is at least an M of over 3.

I lose about a fifth of my chips trying to take out a short stack; in retrospect, 54 wasn't the hand to do this with, considering it has no high-card value. It was suited, but if I'm going to play connectors, suited or no, it's gotta be at least above the halfway point of the deck. (Of course, with blinds 1k/2k, I'm concerned about giving the tiny stack 4000 free chips too.)

I blindsteal with A3 at this point, which brings me to another thing about never calling raises: If it's folded around to me in the SB, I feel pretty freakin' confident. If I have any kind of hand, it's worth trying to steal because the BB has 2 random cards, in my mind. So any ace seems good.

My next luckbox moment comes with a check in the BB with 37 (great f'ing hand, eh?). Flop is 7-5-3. Fortunately, I get J3 to call me and take a monster pot.

Though I like stealing from the SB, raising all-in from UTG is also good. You run a bigger risk here of someone waking up with a big hand here (with 3 to act behind you vs. 1), but with my fold-a-lot image, I'm saying "I have a big hand." So I get the antes/blinds with A7 here, a fairly good, though not stellar, hand 4-handed.

The disadvantage of folding a lot and only trying shit when there's a lack of aggression is that you don't play many hands. I find myself back down to 10k after losing a huge chunk to 2 rounds of blinds with 1500/3k blinds and 150 antes. I was able to check and see one flop, but it was AA4 (I had Tx) and I couldn't pull the all-in trigger, even though I felt like there was a decent change he was just C-betting the scary flop.

But at the moment I'm on life support -- stack at 6k and I have to post a 3k blind -- I get A9, wind up calling a raise (would've gone all-in anyway), and beat 96. Immediate buoy back to 13k. My KQ gets counterfeited by 2 pair on the board vs. KT in the next hand, a definite missed opportunity to knock someone out.

On the next blind, I raise all-in with J7, another move I have a hard time explaining. I guess it's because the huge chip leader was basically raising every pot, trying to steal/bust people. I must not have given him much credit to reraise all-in with Jack-high, 7 kicker. He had 89 and I wound up with a FH on the hand. This double-up actually makes me the chip leader; crazy. I then lose a pretty big pot with A4 to K8 when 2 Kings come on the flop.

Back down to 13k, I'm all in with QT (any 2 Broadway is a good hand now with 3 left), and I spike a T on the river. Again, I'm playing vs. the chipleader who called me with 43 (???).

I bust out #3 with AK vs. Q2, down to heads-up.

Not much to say about heads-up. I know there are optimum strategies, based on strategic aggression + hand selection. I know some SnG experts complain often of too many 2nd and 3rd place finishes instead of wins, so they endeavor to improve their short-handed play. While I'm sure this is a valuable edge to push, I don't see it being very pratical for me since I have trouble getting there in the first place.

Anyway, I take a somewhat bad beat to get crippled -- I'm chipleader all-in with JJ vs. 22; he catches his 2-outer on the turn to make a set, and I'm down to 6k in chips vs. 60k. Next hand I get a decent deal -- A7 -- push it in, he catches running hearts to make a flush with his 53 of hearts, and that's all she wrote.

The bottom line is this: In at least 4 critical situations, in the blind -- with T3, K3, 82 and 73 -- I saw a flop and hit it, with various degrees of harditude. In any one of those situations, being check/folding would've essentially taken me out of the tourney; and in most, a pre-flop raise very well might have folded me.

I got very lucky.

(4) Weak play by my opponents.

This is related to the last point, so I won't say much about it other than to say there was a marked lack of aggression around the bubble (which is common). Sure, some hands were raised preflop, but the majority weren't, and for the most part, people seemed to be playing tight / playing their cards.

By playing their cards, I mean not really taking position into account or blind-stealing. Hell, even the big stacks weren't taking "risks" for a fraction of their stack. (How do you fold to an all-in of 500 chips when you're at 40k ... ?)

This was also true when we were shorthanded, which was helpful. Blinds folded to the BB. Minraises taking down pots preflop. Nobody really bullying with their stack. It was ideal conditions for a weak player like me, and allowed me to move up with some selective aggression.

[This is only a week or so late. I hope it's informative. More coming soon.]
[Edit: Wow, this keeps the original date. I actually finished/posted this on Jan. 31, 10:40 a.m.]

Friday, January 20, 2006

Final table post

I'm at the final table (after a very long 2 tables w/5 hands blind-raping shitfest) of a $1+$0.20 buy-in on Stars.


This tournament was weird in that LOTS of people went out VERY FAST about half an hour in. I check the tournament leaderboard, and it had gone from like 5-7 people out to 20 people out in a matter of 10 minutes.

So, I basically played 1 hand in this -- TT held up vs. 99 (and an Ax stack), I tripled up. "Stole" a couple of times with AQ or QQ and got it folded to me.

Warning: This is a running diary. I'm sure I typoed. I'm sure I misspelled and mispunctuated. Ask me if I'm using weird terminology.
Another warning: This is long.
******************************
Guy just went all-in with KQo, got called by a big stack with AJo. K on flop, turned Q. Crap.

Remember, only 7 pay here and the final table is 9. ($ Payout: 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 10, 14)

I am the short stack. Ulp.

8 left. J9 called an early-position all-in which turned out to be AA.

After 1 blind-raping, I'm down to $2k with 300/600 blinds. Gotta either steal or double-up soon. But I can't even get dealt anything with a face card.

What's really bad is that the monster chipleader is right behind me. But at least he's not aggro.

Just folded AT. Probably would've gone all-in if the chipleader hadn't raised before me in UTG.

Blinds 400/800. Why are the short-stacked people going all-in with the best hands? :-(

I really want to cash, obviously. Would make me feel somewhat better.

They let me check from the BB with T3, flop is T-5-5. I go all-in (my stack is literally 900 now; compare to 30k chipleader and 6000ish avg. stack), get 1 caller (not the chipleader, weirdly); he flips over 99. Wooh! Now up to 5000 in chips; puts me 5th in chips.

{I was about to give a small primer on shortstack play and how I was doing it all wrong b/c I'm a scared player, but I got lucky.}

Just folded A5 and A3 consecutively, even though I still only have like 6 BBs in my stack. Now's a good time to mention that the antes are 50, so I expend $400 in antes each round in addition to 1200 in blinds. That puts my "M" right around 3. Which is better than I thought it was.

Just folded J9s.

Folded KT after the blinds. Flop 9-T-4. Turn 9.

69 all-in vs. 45 on 556 flop. I am now in the $$$. Often, the play loosens up because, hey, "I won something" and/or it's all gravy.

Blinds now 6k/12k, antes 75. I have 2700. And I'm still folding suited Aces (none ever larger than 4, man!)

SWEET!!!!!!!!!!!1 I checked in BB with K3 suited (haven't you guys heard of "don't give free cards"?). Flop 6-3-6, I go all-in, gets folded. I pick up $5k. Still alive.

Chip leader is 35k. Calls an all-in with Q6 vs. lower stack's KJ. Flop 4-9-6, and there are 6 left. I'm actually 3rd in chips.

Guy doubles up with AT vs. KQ from chipleader. I'm 4th in chips.

Shortstack guy gets all-in with J2 on 4AA board. Called by #2 in chips with QT. Out. 5 left.

Blinds 1/2k. Ante 100.

Ha! I'm in the big blind with 82. Flop 928. All-in. Turn 2. Ha! I'm now #2 in chips (9k).

Next hand, I have J9 in SB. I try a blind steal to a guy with about a 4200 stack (min raise is now to 4k). He folds. 13k stack.

3-way all-in, 77 vs. AQ vs. Q4. Board 98KQJ. I'm now #3 in chips with 4 left. (Damn kicker rules, why couldn't 2 guys go out here?)

Back in BB -- my good-luck spot -- with 63. Button raise, SB call, I fold.

I have to try to steal the blind when he has 700 chips left. I have 54 suited. He had J8 of the same suit, so my awesome flush means little.

That guy's all-in on the next hand. Called by both big stacks. All-in had AT with a T on the board. Other guy has 2 hearts on a 2 heart board, but no luck. Still 4 left. I'm last in chips with 7800 to 17k, 27k, and 15k.

All-in with A3 vs. the SB. Folded! 10k in chips.

Same hand, different suits. I fold the SB since the Button raised, hoping the BB will tango with him. Nope.

A4 suited now on the button. A call by the guy behind me, and I fold. Flop 78T, 2 hearts. Draw, you assholes! Turn 3rd heart blank. River blank. Stop checking! Minbet, call, minraise induces 2 folds.

A2. Jeebus. Fold.

37 in BB? Awesome fucking hand. I check. Flop 753. I call, hoping for more action later. 3rd spade card comes on turn, I poosh, he calls with J3, 1 spade. Nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade nospadenospade. River 9d. Yes! 2nd in chips again.

2nd break. There are 2-4 minute breaks every hour.

Status:
Blinds 1500/3k, ante 150

Chipleader: BIGBUCK9455, $19,895
2nd: pit boss 747, $17,894
3rd: Grey IV, $16,682
4th: SnapperLuver, $13,029 (this guy was the runaway huge chipleader coming into the table, with like 40k+ in chips; he's been down in the 2k range at certain times here)

I check 4th-place money. It's $5. Moving up means more than just a buck now -- it means 2 bucks, and 3 bucks more to 2nd, and 4 bucks more to 1st.

I push with A7, folded. 19k.

T3, I check in the BB. Board AA4. He bets, I fold. I'm probably being bluffed left & right here, but I don't care. This is fun now. Unfortunately we're all playing pretty weak/tight & respecting all-ins, so I don't know how likely it is I'll move-up due to attrition now.

Guy went out in 4th as I launch AIM Express to IM Kenny to come sweat me. I'll update later. [Update: BIGBUCK9455 -- the annoying asshole of the table -- calls the blind and then a minraise. Flop Q42, 2 hearts. He bets 3000, call. Turn 9, he checks, other guy bets 3000, call. River 8, no flush, he other guy bets 3000, he calls all-in. He was playing A3, the other guy A9.]

Blinds crazy, esp. with 3 peeps. Down to 6500. Must push/luckbox soon, or I'll be leaving with a cool $7.

A9 offsuit. Poooooooooooooosh. He had 96, so I've got domination. Hooray! Back up to 13k.

KQ. Reraise all-in. Get called by KT -- phenomenal position, he's essentially drawing to 3 outs. What shit, man. Split pot with 2 pair on board, King kicker.

Old chipleader is up to 35k again. I'm 3rd by a little. #2 goes in, fold.

I push J7, flop T47. He had 89. River 7.

I'm now chipleader. Push with A4. He calls K8. Flop KKT. Ugh! Turn T. Me: "I think you were destined to win that one." He's now chipleader. This is CRAZY.

QT suited. Pooooosh. 34 suited?!?!?!?! Flop 72K. Turn 9. River 10. I'm #2 barely.

72 offsuit in SB. I let the guy have the blind out of respect for karma & shit.

2k/4k, ante 200.

Blindstealing's important now, since the chip lead swings on every hand.

All-in AK vs. Q2. I spike an ace, I knock out the long-time chipleader and I am 2nd place!

A8 heads-up. Push, fold.

This is all cat-and-mouse. I know some people just go aggro-crazy, but I like folding some to set up a later trap.

QJ. He minraises, I push. He folds.

Q3 vs. K7. He turns a K. Ah well. now down from 50k, I have 30k (me) vs. 37k (him).

KJ suited. But folded to me ... damn.

All-in, JJ vs his 22. He flops a deuce. Asshole. I'm down to 6k.

Next hand: What horseshit.

A7, vs 35 hearts. 3K9 (1 heart), turn K hearts, river Ace of hearts to give me 2 pair but him the flush.

I won $10!

This post is so long, I'll do a separate post to analyze my play in this. (Amazing things: Just this one win, despite having lost ~10 buy-ins & $4, puts the bankroll very near where it was before.)

Thursday, January 19, 2006

He's Bill Fillmaff, and he's a poker God

Huge pot! Uau!

What an idiot. The key now is not donking away my profit as usual...



PokerStars Game #3690006180: Hold'em Limit ($0.02/$0.04) - 2006/01/19 - 18:38:42 (ET)
Table 'Parsifal'
Seat #10 is the button
Seat 1: Grey IV ($3.98 in chips)

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Grey IV [Kd Ad]
cstore: calls $0.02
KuGo007: checks
CLEAN RUGS: calls $0.02
smokedog25: calls $0.02
Cruel_TeK: raises $0.02 to $0.04
Bruce99: folds
brada-ron: calls $0.04
KolossaA: raises $0.02 to $0.06
Grey IV: raises $0.02 to $0.08: Betting is capped
PeFro: folds
cstore: calls $0.06
KuGo007: folds
CLEAN RUGS: calls $0.06
smokedog25: calls $0.06
Cruel_TeK: calls $0.04
brada-ron: calls $0.04
KolossaA: calls $0.02

*** FLOP *** [2s Kh 8c]
Grey IV: bets $0.02
cstore: folds
CLEAN RUGS: calls $0.02
smokedog25: calls $0.02
Cruel_TeK: raises $0.02 to $0.04
brada-ron: calls $0.04
KolossaA: calls $0.04
Grey IV: raises $0.02 to $0.06
CLEAN RUGS: folds
smokedog25: calls $0.04
Cruel_TeK: raises $0.02 to $0.08: Betting is capped
brada-ron: folds
KolossaA: calls $0.04
Grey IV: calls $0.02
smokedog25: calls $0.02

*** TURN *** [2s Kh 8c] [Ac]
Grey IV: bets $0.04
smokedog25: calls $0.04
Cruel_TeK: calls $0.04
KolossaA: folds

*** RIVER *** [2s Kh 8c Ac] [2d]
Grey IV: bets $0.04
smokedog25: folds
Cruel_TeK: calls $0.04

*** SHOW DOWN ***
Grey IV: shows [Kd Ad] (two pair, Aces and Kings)
Cruel_TeK: mucks hand
Grey IV collected $1.18 from pot

*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $1.18 Rake $0
Board [2s Kh 8c Ac 2d]
Seat 1: Grey IV (small blind) showed [Kd Ad] and won ($1.18) with two pair, Aces and Kings
Seat 7: Cruel_TeK mucked [Ks Jc]

LOL Riverstars

Consecutive hands...

PokerStars Game #3685928433: Tournament #18300188, Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2006/01/19 - 08:06:36 (ET)

Table '18300188 3' Seat #3 is the button
Seat 9: Grey IV (1410 in chips)

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Grey IV [6s 6d]
gman2268: folds
Grey IV: calls 100
jonpie: calls 100
Prmths: raises 695 to 795 and is all-in
lung5000: folds
abs777: folds
mkmkmk0140: folds
Grey IV: calls 695
jonpie: folds

*** FLOP *** [4h 5d 4d]
*** TURN *** [4h 5d 4d] [8s]
*** RIVER *** [4h 5d 4d 8s] [Kd]

*** SHOW DOWN ***
Grey IV: shows [6s 6d] (two pair, Sixes and Fours)
Prmths: shows [Ks Th] (two pair, Kings and Fours)
Prmths collected 1840 from pot

*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 1840 Rake 0
Board [4h 5d 4d 8s Kd]
Seat 2: Prmths showed [Ks Th] and won (1840) with two pair, Kings and Fours
Seat 9: Grey IV showed [6s 6d] and lost with two pair, Sixes and Fours

=============================================================

PokerStars Game #3685930582: Tournament #18300188, Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2006/01/19 - 08:07:27 (ET)
Table '18300188 3'
Seat #4 is the button
Seat 9: Grey IV (615 in chips)

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Grey IV [Jc Kc]
Grey IV: raises 515 to 615 and is all-in
jonpie: folds
Prmths: folds
lung5000: folds
abs777: raises 550 to 1165 and is all-in
mkmkmk0140: folds
gman2268: calls 1065

*** FLOP *** [Kd 5s 4c]
*** TURN *** [Kd 5s 4c] [Jd]
*** RIVER *** [Kd 5s 4c Jd] [Qd]

*** SHOW DOWN ***
gman2268: shows [Th Td] (a pair of Tens)
abs777: shows [Qh Qs] (three of a kind, Queens)
abs777 collected 1100 from side pot
Grey IV: shows [Jc Kc] (two pair, Kings and Jacks)
abs777 collected 1895 from main pot

*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 2995 Main pot 1895. Side pot 1100. Rake 0
Board [Kd 5s 4c Jd Qd]
Seat 4: abs777 (button) showed [Qh Qs] and won (2995) with three of a kind, Queens
Seat 6: gman2268 (big blind) showed [Th Td] and lost with a pair of Tens
Seat 9: Grey IV showed [Jc Kc] and lost with two pair, Kings and Jacks

How to dismantle an atomic bankroll

I don't know if this swing is self-induced or numbers-induced.

My life, as I'm sure you all know, is frustration. For the purposes of this post, we'll focus on poker and not my inability to effectively whittle.

I decided to more-or-less try something DEL and I have thought is a good idea for awhile now -- focus primarily on tourneys. So, although I was playing a ring game at the time and watching season 2 of Arrested Development, I blitzed through what seemed like a fuckton of 45-person tournaments (apparently, actually 7). I played them pretty much consecutively, started around 11 p.m. The top-sheet analysis:

-- NL Hold 'em --
$1.50+ $0.25
finished: 15th (of 18)

$1.00+$0.20
finished 18th, 30th, 9th, 19th, 27th

-- NL Omaha8 --
$1.00+$0.20
36th

Yup. I donked away $7.95 of David's money. Which wouldn't have been so bad -- hey, you don't finish ITM every time -- if I wasn't also in the process of dropping 100 BBs in a ring game. Over several hours, I was able to dwindle $4 down to $0. Definitely my worst day ever playing poker.

Details, you ask? Well, in the NLO8 tourney, I got beaten by the 1 hand which could beat me (I had the 2nd-best full house.)

The one I'm most pissed about is the 9th-place finish. I was 2nd in the chips in a runaway (after, admittedly, getting decent cards and doubling up with the best hand more than once). We were down to 10 players, which means 5 at each table until the 10th-place person busts out. Maybe it was the short-handed pressure. I don't know what happened -- impatience? -- but I think a non-horrible beat did me in.

PokerStars Game #3684914655: Tournament #18292337, Hold'em No Limit - Level VII (100/200)
2006/01/19 - 02:31:40 (ET)
Table '18292337 5'
Seat #9 is the button
Seat 8: Grey IV (9933 in chips)

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Grey IV [8s As]
Grey IV: raises 450 to 650
z00eyglass: calls 550

*** FLOP *** [2s Qs Ks]
z00eyglass: checks (habitual move on all streets for this weakish player)
Grey IV: bets 650 (sweet! nut flush! must ... extract...value...)
z00eyglass: raises 1465 to 2115 and is all-in (...or not)
Grey IV: calls 1465

*** TURN *** [2s Qs Ks] [7h]

*** RIVER *** [2s Qs Ks 7h] [Kc]

*** SHOW DOWN ***
z00eyglass: shows [Qh Kd] (a full house, Kings full of Queens)
Grey IV: shows [8s As] (a flush, Ace high)
z00eyglass said, "sweet"
z00eyglass collected 5855 from pot
Grey IV said, "Wow"

*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 5855 Rake 0
Board [2s Qs Ks 7h Kc]
Seat 2: z00eyglass (small blind)
showed [Qh Kd] and won (5855) with a full house, Kings full of Queens
Seat 8: Grey IV showed [8s As] and lost with a flush, Ace high

Who am I kidding? That's a shitty beat. A 4-outer to the boat. But it shouldn't have been a big deal. I still had ~7000 in chips, well above-average. I probably should've just folded into the money. At least then I'd have had something to show for my time...

Without too much detail, I slowly bled chips for the next few orbits. My blind-stealing wasn't working nearly as well as it had been; I was getting played back at a lot more, which makes this weak-tight idiot have to fold a lot of flops.

Looking back at my final hand now, I definitely can't understand what I was thinking. Maybe it was the fact that it was the same person that had sucked out on me. (This person was also the big table bully, picking up lots of pots.) I called a standard means-nothing 3xBB bet preflop with QTh. I bet out 1500 into the 3,000 pot on a 5-4-2 flop, a standard bet that often folds people. But zooeyglass pushed all-in, which I guess should have been my first clue. I was pretty committed by the time, though, and figured it could easily be a bully move that zooeyglass had used before. So I called.

Me: QhTh.
ZG: AcAd.

I did pick up a redraw to a heart flush on the turn (a 3rd ace), but a river blank sealed it. It took me only 16 hands after that beat to donk away my stack. Had I simply folded, I still would've had approx. 6,000 chips.

That's by far the most interesting one. In my others, I:
-- checked J4 in the blind and flopped 5-3-4. This was an uber-weak table, so I went all-in, figuring I had a good chance at the best hand anyway with no aggression being shown. Even if I got called, I reasoned, they'd have to pair their high cards. The 1 caller, unfortunately, had 67. And I even turned a set. Probably a risk I shouldn't have taken, but hey, everyone was folding to aggression...
-- severely shortstacked, I went all-in on a J-6-9-J-9 board with Q7 since it had been checked all the way down. Guy flips over Q9. WTF?
-- Actually, this may be the worst beat of all: Early on, I've got a good stack and I'm controlling the table well. I flop bottom top 2 pair (KT) on an A-K-T flop with 1 guy all-in. I get another person with a slightly larger stack than me nearly all-in with some aggressive betting. She flips A3 (sooted), and proceeds to catch 4-4 to out-2 pair me. Monster pot lost; I finish 30th.
-- Wow. I looked at this again, and I went "What an idiot!" Then I realized "Grey IV" is me. I get all-in with pocket 6s on a Q-8-5 board. Guy had a Q. I guess, again, I "knew" he was full of it. He bet and raised almost every pot, which is how he was the chipleader. On the plus side, I awesomely overplayed wired 6s.
-- I lost AK to AQ.

Random shit
* I hate it when they pair their kicker. I get money in the pot, betting and raising, with, say, AT on a 10-high board. Homeboy is playing T3 for multiple bets, which is great. Until the 3 comes on the river. (This has been happening all the time to me lately in ring.)
* Overcards. My pocket pair or top pair is terrified of the face cards on the board. While it's usually a good bet some idiot is holding onto his A4 for whatever reason, it's harder to ajudge when the turn's a Q. I'm trying not to fold to this irrational fear, but not folding is a surefire way to risk more bets.
* I wish I could tell more easily when I can fold people with aggression, esp. in limit. Some hands, I get called down all the way. Some hands, just betting quickly every street seems (seems) to make the other guy fold by the river (unless he connected with his hand, of course). Which segues into...

Reads. They're important. Not catching the Matador's secret twitch or KGB's Oreo trick, but being able to put guys on a range of hands, the likelihood that they played the hand this specific way, and MOST IMPORTANTLY, remembering how they've played similar hands before (or more accurately, when they've played in this fashion before, what'd they have?)

I'm bad at this. Part of this is because I don't try that hard. (That's a familiar refrain.) Part of it is because people get up and down a lot at full ring. But mostly I like doing other things while I'm on the computer. It's hard to pay attention to a guy using his full 20 seconds to fold when Gob is COCK-A-CAWing in a window right next to it.

Improved focus would improve my play. I don't know if it's a gift or a skill, reading players well. And I think there are real logical holes in it, despite the awesomeness of the skill of guys who make reads for thousands of dollars -- the JCarvers and such that I so desperately wish to emulate. (That's a post I need to make.) The real masters of the poker universe.

"This is a good move to make against X type of player. But if he'll call you all the way down, don't do it."

It's not that I don't understand the concepts -- I do. If I know who's across the table, I know how to play it. But having an accurate read on who's around me? That's tough.

But do I want to put in the effort to read well? Hell, sometimes I just think I should play robotic ABC poker -- use Sklansky's system, Adar's robotic 10+1 guide, Kill Phil ... something. It should be profitable (at least marginally) and I wouldn't have to worry about pissing away my whole bankroll.

And then there's 6-max, which would allow my calling-station ways to be more profitable (with larger swings).

=====================================================

I sat down at a table as I started to write this entry. My first hand dealt:

PokerStars Game #3685505757: Hold'em Limit ($0.02/$0.04) - 2006/01/19 - 04:59:40 (ET)
Table 'Elephenor'
Seat #9 is the button
Seat 8: Grey IV ($4.03 in chips)

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Grey IV [4s 4d]
tsar777: folds
tiqua: calls $0.02
!L0neW0lff!: calls $0.02
gofio1: folds
Malibou: raises $0.02 to $0.04
Grey IV: calls $0.04 (PITR: "Oh, those fishy Stars players and their pocket pairs they can't help but make unprofitable coldcalls with preflop!" Okay, the usual critcism of fish like me is "They call all the way to the river" with PPs. Which I am also totally guilty of.)
kustomwood: calls $0.04
PizzaCalzone: folds
bb1365: calls $0.02
tiqua: calls $0.02
!L0neW0lff!: calls $0.02

*** FLOP *** [5d 4c 9c]
bb1365: checks
tiqua: checks
!L0neW0lff!: checks
Malibou: bets $0.02
Grey IV: calls $0.02 (I could've/probably should've raised here, but I wasn't trapping anybody between for multiple bets. I honestly thought I would get more callers to 1 bet than 2, increasing my sure profit when I awesomely win this hand. And, I told myself, the board is relatively draw-free -- I'm really only worried about higher pocket pairs. Of course, as soon as I called -- oops -- I noticed "Oh yeah, 2 clubs." I'm the shit.)
kustomwood: calls $0.02
bb1365: calls $0.02
tiqua: calls $0.02
L0neW0lff!: folds

*** TURN *** [5d 4c 9c] [6c]
bb1365: checks
tiqua: checks
Malibou: bets $0.04
Grey IV: raises $0.04 to $0.08 (Now is definitely the time to get rid of/make pay the douches with 1 club in their hand -- if, indeed, someone didn't flush up right here on the turn) kustomwood: calls $0.08
bb1365: calls $0.08
tiqua: folds
Malibou: raises $0.04 to $0.12
Grey IV: raises $0.04 to $0.16: Betting is capped (Gamboooooooooooooool)
kustomwood: folds
bb1365: calls $0.08
Malibou: calls $0.04

*** RIVER *** [5d 4c 9c 6c] [5h]
bb1365: checks
Malibou: bets $0.04
Grey IV: raises $0.04 to $0.08 (How luckbox am I, I housed up -- only 99, 66 or 55 can beat me)
bb1365: folds
Malibou: raises $0.04 to $0.12
Grey IV: raises $0.04 to $0.16: Betting is capped
Malibou: calls $0.04

*** SHOW DOWN ***
Grey IV: shows [4s 4d] (a full house, Fours full of Fives)
Malibou: mucks hand
Grey IV collected $1.23 from pot

*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $1.23 Rake $0
Board [5d 4c 9c 6c 5h]
Seat 7: Malibou mucked [Ac Qc]
Seat 8: Grey IV showed [4s 4d] and won ($1.23) with a full house, Fours full of Fives
Ouch. Nut flush, too. I got horribly bad-beat, if you'll recall, with a flopped on earlier in the day.



And as I was typing that hand up, I rivered the nut flush with pocket aces. My opponents had 56 offsuit (and never paired with a gutshot straight draw) and KJ offsuit (King of the flush suit). I left the table up $1+ over like 15 hands. (I was up like $1.25 -- Jesus, I'm a cash leak.)

It is cyclical.

Goals:
* Tighten up more in ring play. If I could "make back" my $4, that would make me feel very good. (Even though you're not supposed to view your bankroll this way.)
* Before going on a tourney spree again, read up on some strategy. It's possible I'm not being aggressive enough around the bubble.
* Gap concept. Gap concept. Gap concept.
* Maybe read throught a couple of systems for tourney play. See what they eludicate.

I was up about $15 on Stars. Now? $4.07.

Net profit: $12.47 ($4.07 Stars, $8.40 FTP)
ROI: 6.4%

Sunday, October 16, 2005

Allez in

Almost played in the Sunday goon (SomethingAwful) event, a 5-game tourney, but chickened out because a) it was $5.50 and b) those guys are better than me.

But I did play 45er ($1.20 buy-in) today, which was a bad idea because they take about 2 hours, and I started at 4. So I had to sit out for awhile after we got down to 2 tables while I went to take a shower. Eventully I got antsy about getting to work on time and wound out going out in 11th playing hands I shouldn't have. But a decent run of cards in my post-work ring game made it all back, plus some. ("Lucky cunt!" Sounds like a kickin' band name.)

I'll post details tomorrow.

In other news, I think I have realized I'm a "calling station", in the parlance. This is a bad thing, but self-diagnosis is only half the battle. More aggression!


Net profit: $20.29 ($13.74 Stars, $6.55 FTP)
[ 10.4% return / 5.2 Lane ]

Tuesday, October 11, 2005

Jesus went all-in for you

http://www.kerusso.com/detail.taf?listing_id=1524&r=790383225

Monday, September 05, 2005

Let's play three

I didn't figure I'd play much today, and I didn't really. A little FTP Omaha8, where I was down from my $5 buy-in to $.90 and got all-in and won the low to get back up to $2. I eventually hit a ridiculous full house and jumped up to $6.75 or so. Out.

A few helpful Omaha tips:

  • With a 3-flush on the board, somebody will have the other 2
  • With a pair on the board, somebody will have the FH
  • With a 3-straight (and certainly a 4+), somebody will have the nut straight

This is completely true.

I played a little on Stars in a ring game, lost a little bit. I can never keep a full table, and the hands are slow to come -- I wind up seeing flops with JT and catching shit.

But then I said, hey, I'm up a few bucks. Might as well take some tourney shots.

Played two, and came up dry both times. Oh well. I know that ITMs under 50% are perfectly normal -- it is, after all, your ROI that matters. In one I got a real shitty run of cards -- and then went all-in with a less than optimum hand. In the other I got a good hand & got drawn out on.

Tourney #3, I was determined to play less loose. To raise more (hopefully steal some). It seems to me that early in the tournament, you'll get called (or raised) a LOT. More than you want to when you're playing your A9o from the CO. So I determined to play supertight. I hadn't played one hand, and only seen a handful of flops, when I had a decent hand.

I was in 15th or so of 17 with a $1k stack. I made a postflop raise when it hit me a little. Got the folds, and I was back up to $1350. At 75/150, that's golden for a couple more orbits at least.

Then the fun begins -- and by fun, I mean the saga of myself and norma9. She was the aggressor at the table (there are 10-11 people left at this point, which means that one table is 6 and one is 5 -- we're at the fiver), and was cleaning up pretty well. I'm not the short stack, but [I'm a 1k+ stack at a table with two 10k+, and two 3k-4k stacks, plus one guy with 800.] But I got a run of cards, and I pretty much could purchase my own island with the cash I took off her. All these hands (practically) are very close in time. There are incidental "everyone folds" type of hands in here, as well as "I pay to see the flop, then fold" hands. But this is pretty much all the action for 5 minutes or so:

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Grey IV [Ks Ad]
I raise, 2 callers (including norma9)

*** FLOP *** [3c 3s Ah]
norma9: bets 11045 and is all-in
Grey IV: calls 665 and is all-in
5MILLION: folds

*** TURN *** [3c 3s Ah] [7d]
*** RIVER *** [3c 3s Ah 7d] [3h]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
norma9: shows [5s Qs] (three of a kind, Threes)
Grey IV: shows [Ks Ad] (a full house, Threes full of Aces)
Grey IV collected 3005 from pot
norma9 said, "whoops"

Like I said, norma9 was being aggressive. I'm not sure why she picked an overcarded board to push, though. And Q5 isn't great. Two Broadway cards, maybe. Maybe because there were two of us? No idea.

My new favorite hand is pocket fives -- or, as Vince Van Patten (last name: "is a tool") would say, Speed Limit:

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Grey IV [5h 5s]
norma9 calls, I call, BB checks

*** FLOP *** [3c 2c 5d] (hooray!)
1 check, norma9: bets 200, Grey IV: raises 550 to 750, 1 fold, norma9: raises 550 to 1300, Grey IV: raises 755 to 2055 and is all-in, norma9: calls 755

*** TURN *** [3c 2c 5d] [6d]
*** RIVER *** [3c 2c 5d 6d] [Qc]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
norma9: shows [Ks Ac] (high card Ace)
Grey IV: shows [5h 5s] (three of a kind, Fives)
Grey IV collected 4960 from pot

This is the point when I felt a little bad. norma9 had a great hand -- just ran into a buzzsaw. I know the Internet poker community would have her raise big preflop with such a big hand -- and I don't know if I would've called if she had. I should mention here that norma9 had the huge stack at the table, so she still has plenty of virtual coin for...

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Grey IV [5h 5c]
1 fold, norma9 calls, 1 fold, Grey IV: calls 100, 1 fold (some might raise here in LP; I'm just shocked to see the same hand again, and hey, it is a pair of 5s after all...)

*** FLOP *** [5s 4s 8c]
Grey IV: bets 725
norma9: raises 725 to 1450
Grey IV: raises 725 to 2175
norma9: raises 11350 to 13525 and is all-in
Grey IV: calls 2285 and is all-in
*** TURN *** [5s 4s 8c] [As]
*** RIVER *** [5s 4s 8c As] [8s]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Grey IV: shows [5h 5c] (a full house, Fives full of Eights)
norma9: shows [8h 7s] (a flush, Ace high)
Grey IV collected 9645 from pot

At first, I thought I had lost. Seriously. I saw the fourth spade, and went "FUCK!" But I didn't feel so bad -- I went all-in with a set on a non-scary board, she went all-in with top pair, and a 1-out straight draw and a runner-runner flush draw. Them's the odds. With this pot, my stack is now bigger than norma9's:

  • I get AK suited. The flop comes [6h 7h 4h], and norma9 and I check down after she just calls my half-pot flop bet. But... *** SHOW DOWN *** norma9: shows [Qd Ad] (high card Ace); Grey IV: shows [Ac Kc] (high card Ace - King kicker); Grey IV collected 3575 from pot. We're two peas in a pod. Big overcards, terrified of the flush (and that open-ended straight that could've come in on the river). This is what SSHE means by "...will win unimproved a significant portion of the time in non-multiway pots," I guess.
  • Truly the next hand: I get [4s 9d] in the big blind. I check to see the flop (hoping for, y'know, 949): *** FLOP *** [3h 4h 3d]. Is there a 3 in the house? I bet out, norma9 calls me and everyone else folds. We check a Qc and 7d on the river: *** SHOW DOWN *** Grey IV: shows [4s 9d] (two pair, Fours and Threes); norma9: shows [8c 4c] (two pair, Fours and Threes); Grey IV collected 1513 from pot; norma9 collected 1512 from pot. Ah, karma. Without the Q, of course, I win this pot outright.
  • This is the next hand, but we've been moved to the final table. Second verse: *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Grey IV [Kd Qd] norma9 calls, 1 call, Grey IV raises 400 to 800, 2 folds, norma9 calls, 1 call; *** FLOP *** [8h Tc Jd] norma9 bets, 1 fold, Grey IV: raises 1100 to 1500, norma9 calls. I like this straight draw I'm on -- not to mention the backdoor flusher. *** TURN *** [8h Tc Jd] [5s] norma9 checks, Grey IV checks; *** RIVER *** [8h Tc Jd 5s] [Th] norma9: checks, Grey IV: checks. Honestly, I'm unsure of what she called me on on the flop -- if it's a pair, a set, a FH, I'm dead. But if it's any pair at all, why isn't she betting? *** SHOW DOWN *** norma9: shows [Kh Qh] (a pair of Tens) Grey IV: shows [Kd Qd] (a pair of Tens) norma9 collected 3063 from pot Grey IV collected 3062 from pot. Geez. Why are we both not aggressive enough to actually win these pots?
Now it's the final table. Tournament strategy-wise, I should be folding my way up. But I will eventually get blinded down, and it's not like everyone else isn't playing supertight as well. I almost don't want to see a good hand -- if I play it, and get sucked out on, that would be terrible. So with 9 people left (remember, 7 cash), I'm actually a little ill to look down and see:

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Grey IV [Kc Ks]

1 fold, risa1965 raises 1800 to 2400, 6 folds, Grey IV raises 2600 to 5000, risa1965 calls 2600 (this is appropriate -- I am only behind to AA at this point, I tell myself. But if I see an Ace on the board, I'm shitting my pants)

*** FLOP *** [6h 9h 6d]
Grey IV checks, risa1965 bets 2400, Grey IV: calls 2400 (I swear I think an A6 is being slowplayed or some shit)

*** TURN *** [6h 9h 6d] [4d]
Grey IV checks, risa1965 bets 3800 and is all-in, Grey IV: calls 3800 (our stacks were 13370 for me vs. 11250 for her at the beginning of the hand -- so I won't be totally out. But the blinds are 300/600 with a 50 ante, so I would be scrizewed. Great to see a second flush draw show up, too! But with KK ... WTF should I do?)

*** RIVER *** [6h 9h 6d 4d] [Js]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Grey IV: shows [Kc Ks] (two pair, Kings and Sixes)
risa1965: shows [Qs Qh] (two pair, Queens and Sixes)
Grey IV collected 23150 from pot
norma9 said, "wow"

I feel so bad for risa1965. She got shafted. norma9's reaction is the same as mine -- except norma9, I'm sure, is really tired of my B.S. luck at this point.

norma9 went out in 5th of 6 when she and the #6 stack busted out to the chipleader on the same hand when her flopped top two pair lost to a turned flush. Too bad. She had bad luck with good hands. I would've loved to be heads-up with her.

It's funny how these tournaments work. People are really tight around the bubble, obviously -- and even a couple of places afterward. But I'd estimate the table went from 6 to 3 within a few minutes. Maybe it's the late hours I'm playing -- other players often comment about wanting/needing to go to bed, so hay guyz, I'll just go all-in every hand to hurry it up. Or maybe people stop caring once they're ITM. But it seems infinitely easier, as far as I can tell, to get from 6th or 5th up to 3rd or 2nd rather than move up from 9th to 7th (or 15th to the final table, for that matter).

Fourth place was busted out by yours truly when he called my big preflop raise and he raised 4 BBs on a rainbow flop with all lowcards. I contemplated a pocket pair, but this guy was pretty smallstacked, so if he hit, he hit. I'm second stack at this point, and there's some sort of obligation to try to bust the short stacks. So I re-raise double his raise to put him all-in. He calls, and flips over 22, but luckily that wasn't on the board. I have QQ so I barely think about this move. The board pairs a 9 on the river and he's out with 2 pair.

At this point, there's a guy who got a big stack early and has been sitting out since half the field was eliminated. He was a midstack by the final table, but hey -- don't slag the sitters. He made a money-making move to shirk an hour and a half of possible losing to finish 3rd ($7). I (25k) and the big stack (43k) made a quick agreement to wait him out -- the blinds are 300/600 and his stack is like 4800 at this point. We agree to fold to each other in the big blind and wait him out. I sit for 5-10 minutes while I go get a Diet Pepsi (Mmm.) and watch a few minutes of SportsCenter. I come back in time to see the last two orbits, and now I'm guaranteed at least $10 ($14 to the winner).

So now it's heads-up, which is tough, I think. Whatever your read is on the other player, it needs to be malleable. The types of hands you'll play (nearly all of them) loosens up a lot. It's suicide to play too tight, because you'll be blinded down and find yourself needing to double-up just to get a respectable stack back (and I was already down 2:1 to him).

Luckily for me, this guy was pretty tight. Maybe as tight as I am. We both saw lots of flops, which was going to be great if we hit something. Of course, too much aggression from the other, and we both tended to fold. So it was fairly cat & mouse. Heads-up play lasted 22 hands.

At first, I stole a bunch of blinds early to move to more like 30k:40k instead of 25k:45k. But then he started calling/raising more, and I had to back off postflop when I had shit for shit.

My big hand turnaround came when I get dealt T8o in the SB. He minraised, I called. *** FLOP *** [9h Ac 7s], so I'm praying to hit the well-camouflaged straight. I check (note to self: talk about my predilection for a check in a later post), mostly to see what he'll do. There is an Ace out there. But he checks too. So I know I need to take action on the turn, no matter what comes:

*** TURN *** [9h Ac 7s] [Jd]

Aw, yeah. I do a quick check for a better straight than my Seven to Jack; not there. Flushes are gone. If a Ten comes on the river, KQ has me screwed (might explain his flop check); someone with QT beats me if another 8 shows up. But I decide to make a 1.5BB bet, to see if -- and how much -- I'll get raised. He could definitely have top pair, and I want to take advantage. But he just calls.

*** RIVER *** [9h Ac 7s Jd] [6h]

I have the nuts. So I make a bigger bet -- about 7BB. I can't see him not calling with top pair, but he re-raises double. That's half my stack, so I push. He flips over A6 -- how lucky was that river for me? -- and I take down a 48k pot, the balance of power shifted.

Now he's shortstacked, but he doesn't go all-in much (and when he does, I fold), so I'm able to blindsteal up a little [and win a few pots when he calls me down after I pair a hole card and he doesn't; I guess it's good to bet small, eh?] to 50k or so (50:17 ratio). We split a pot when we both split a 14k pot with a similarly weakly played (about 4 BBs apiece over the course of the hand) Kx with bad kicker. I have K6, he K2.

I lose a 20k pot when I get reraised preflop with JT, but he minbets the 7K6 flop, and checks the A on the turn, so I see the 5 come on the river. He's shown zero aggression ... could I have the best hand? Fishy. He does a 3x minbet on the river, and I call just for the hell of it. He shows AK -- ridiculous. Even I would have played this more aggro, and might have gotten paid off.

So of course the next hand, I get JT again. (Don't be gunshy, I tell myself; still a solid hand.) I complete the blind, he checks.

Seat 6: Grey IV (40815 in chips)
Seat 7: jtthurb (26685 in chips)
*** FLOP *** [Th 6d 5s]
jtthurb: bets 2400
Grey IV: raises 5600 to 8000
jtthurb: raises 17410 to 25410 and is all-in (I've got top pair ... worse case, he flopped 2 pair, I think; plus, I'm still fine chipwise if I lose)
Grey IV: calls 17410
*** TURN *** [Th 6d 5s] [As]
*** RIVER *** [Th 6d 5s As] [9c]
jtthurb said, "gg"
*** SHOW DOWN***
jtthurb: shows [Tc 4d] (a pair of Tens)
Grey IV: shows [Ts Jd] (a pair of Tens - Jack kicker)
Grey IV said, "You too"
Grey IV collected 53370 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***Total pot 53370 Rake 0
Board [Th 6d 5s As 9c]
Seat 6: Grey IV (button) (small blind) showed [Ts Jd] and won (53370) with a pair of Tens
Seat 7: jtthurb (big blind) showed [Tc 4d] and lost with a pair of Tens

Shocked. Close hand. I'm totally shocked to have won this tournament -- and looking back now, I'm shocked that I played this hand that loose. Blinds were only 6k/12k ... couldn't I have waited for something premium? Answer: No, because I'm not guaranteed to win big with it when I do. (What would you think if Foldy McFolder is suddenly calling & raising?) Plus, I would be basically giving away chips.

Did I "outplay" this guy? I don't know. Was I lucky? You bet: the KK vs. QQ hand really stands out to me. But I hear you need a little luck -- or at least decent cards and better reads. I'd guess I was playing average/below average players, I got somewhat lucky, and I got a lot fortunate that my final-table foe was passive.

This makes me -$3.60 on buy-ins for the day, and $14 in profit. That's $10.40, baby.

Net profit: $21.53 ($15.53 Stars, $6 FTP)

Sunday, September 04, 2005

Incidental

Short post, mostly to bankroll-update.

I nearly played a tournament on FTP tonight -- it was a $20 buy-in NLHE tournament, plus a $10 fee that FTP would match and send to the Red Cross. Seemed like a good cause, but I chickened out of it for several reasons:

a) $30 is a significant chunk of both my bankroll and my FTP bankroll
b) playing in this charity tournament: Andy Bloch, Erik Seidel, Eric Lindgren, Allen Cunningham, John Juanda and the professor, Howard Lederer. Yikes.
c) Couldn't go to sleep until like noon due to mysterious abdomen pain. Hmm.

Anyway, I've played a little incidentally -- 30 minutes before work here, an hour while talking to David on the phone there -- and I'm up. Got pretty lucky -- not only with cards, but with people calling me down with absolute trash.

I just got an IM from a good friend a few minutes ago:

"I perhaps may be a person who does not learn from past mistakes, but I would have backed you on your gambling life. I figure my odds would be better with you than sponsoring ::name:: on anything."

Heh. I like that guy (/girl).

Net profit: $9.06 ($4.81 Stars, $4.25 FTP)

Friday, September 02, 2005

Poker! Part Deux

Day 2 was both eventful and uneventful. I believe in duality.

I played a few hundred hands of sit-and-go; on most of the tables, I would hover around my buy-in, but usually was down a little bit.

One concern with playing optimal poker is being at full tables. With 9 people sitting, the blinds come around at the slowest possible rate, which gives you more chances to get a good hand in relation to your table expenditure.

Unfortunately, when people leave the table, the vacant seat often goes unfilled. If the table is particularly slow, people will often leave in search of a faster table. (Or, in the alternative, they'll harangue the slow players with "HAY hurry upp geez" or the incredibly clever "zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz". This usually prompts me to wittily say "OMG so-and-so has a broken keyboard! Help him!")

I know I've sat at several tables where it's dwindled to 5 or 6 players within a few hands; not paying attention to this and switching aggressively to a full table is probably costing me money.

I discovered that Full Tilt doesn't have $0.02/$0.04 tables; their low limit is 5 and 10 cents. I thought there might not be a lot of difference, but it's suprising how you notice the money bleeding away faster.

The high drama of my day was the decision to play a little Omaha hi/lo. I consider myself an above-average Omaha player; I've done a lot of reading about it, and I've seen some truly wretched performances at the play-money tables. I've seen people say that Omaha8 is truly "the softest game online today," and with that in mind, I sat at a pot-limit Omaha8 table (the only active table) on FTP with $10.

Well, I don't know what happened exactly, but I got burned. I was throwing money into losing pots, getting hosed with 2nd-nut-low, everything that could go wrong. At one point, I was down to about $0.90 in chips. But after some tight play and halving a few pots, I got back up to around $4. After a big win with a wheel (the A-2-3-4-5 straight, which is always the best low hand and often wins the high), I got back up to $9.15. Determined not to lose it all again, I tried playing tight, but didn't catch very many good hands and didn't win the ones I played. A few hours at the table later, I finally cashed out with $1.65.

That's a big loss -- 85% of my buy-in to the table. I was pretty frustrated and scared of what this might mean. I hadn't had nearly as big a swing at hold 'em, but given my performance, I figured it might only be a matter of time.

To try to help my ego, I decided to jump into a couple of SnGs. I figured I had always done well in them -- I did have a 67% ROI after all -- and I might be able to recoup some of my lost money.

Well, I lost there, too.

In my first one, I played tight, but eventually went out in 10th. I won't post full histories since my posts are already too long, but I was severely shortstacked (900 chips to the chipleader's 13k with 200/400 blinds and a 25 ante). I got A6o, and figured that was the best hand I was likely to see at my 5-person table while I still had a few chips. I pushed, got called by Q8 of spades, who got a Q on the turn. No biggie. I was close.

In the second, I wrote "HORRIBLE JACK BEAT" next to my ledger notation. I don't even remember what place I went out in, because I was so pissed off at this truly awful beat. As the 4th stack or so (1,500) at my table (table leader was 12k) with 75/150 blinds, I raised once preflop with KK and got one caller. I bet out on the 67T (2 diamonds) flop, and homeboy raised me all-in. I figure a diamond draw or maybe an open-ended straight draw (and, dear Lord, not a pocket pair). Turns out he had QhJd -- great news for me. Even if he